Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000601 0.000687 0.000778 0.000881 0.000996 0.001117 0.001257
2025-08-10 0.000478 0.000598 0.000734 0.000899 0.001093 0.001311 0.001574
2025-08-17 0.000403 0.000537 0.000695 0.000896 0.001140 0.001426 0.001781
2025-08-24 0.000335 0.000473 0.000645 0.000870 0.001154 0.001495 0.001933
2025-08-31 0.000283 0.000422 0.000602 0.000845 0.001162 0.001553 0.002067
2025-09-07 0.000249 0.000390 0.000578 0.000842 0.001194 0.001639 0.002235
2025-09-14 0.000221 0.000363 0.000559 0.000841 0.001226 0.001724 0.002402
2025-09-21 0.000195 0.000335 0.000535 0.000831 0.001244 0.001788 0.002543
2025-09-28 0.000170 0.000307 0.000509 0.000815 0.001252 0.001838 0.002664
2025-10-05 0.000159 0.000298 0.000509 0.000836 0.001311 0.001958 0.002881
2025-10-12 0.000148 0.000288 0.000507 0.000852 0.001363 0.002068 0.003086
2025-10-19 0.000133 0.000270 0.000489 0.000844 0.001379 0.002128 0.003224
2025-10-26 0.000117 0.000250 0.000468 0.000830 0.001386 0.002178 0.003351
2025-11-02 0.000108 0.000240 0.000462 0.000839 0.001428 0.002277 0.003548
2025-11-09 0.000098 0.000227 0.000451 0.000839 0.001454 0.002353 0.003715
2025-11-16 0.000085 0.000207 0.000426 0.000813 0.001441 0.002371 0.003798
2025-11-23 0.000074 0.000189 0.000402 0.000790 0.001429 0.002390 0.003882
2025-11-30 0.000067 0.000178 0.000392 0.000787 0.001449 0.002456 0.004035
2025-12-07 0.000061 0.000169 0.000383 0.000786 0.001471 0.002526 0.004195
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000159 0.000370 0.000776 0.001478 0.002573 0.004321
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000147 0.000354 0.000761 0.001476 0.002603 0.004423
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000145 0.000357 0.000781 0.001533 0.002729 0.004670
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000142 0.000358 0.000796 0.001582 0.002841 0.004900